Both teams have been defensively porous to a large degree of late, and we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet.
That said, we just about fancy the visitors to narrowly edge out their hosts and get the job done in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
0.08) 
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