SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
70.38% ( 0.94) | 16.67% ( -0.28) | 12.95% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.26% ( -0.28) | 31.73% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.74% ( -0.33) | 53.25% ( 0.33) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.94% ( 0.13) | 8.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.66% ( 0.32) | 28.33% ( -0.32) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( -1.13) | 36.8% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% ( -1.14) | 73.59% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.57% Total : 70.38% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.95% |
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