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Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
FT

Heerenveen
3 - 3
FC Twente

Nicolaescu (21'), Sahraoui (38'), Haye (57' pen.)
Nicolaescu (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-3)
van Wolfswinkel (11'), Rots (13'), Propper (36')
Vlap (44'), Sampsted (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 1-3 FC Twente

With Heerenveen being one of the division's more unpredictable sides, any result feels possible here. Nevertheless, with Twente having only lost to the leaders in their last five outings, we expect the visitors to come through this contest in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawFC Twente
33.21% (-0.15 -0.15) 23.26% (-0.182 -0.18) 43.53% (0.329 0.33)
Both teams to score 63.37% (0.616 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.97% (0.828 0.83)38.03% (-0.829 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.7% (0.878 0.88)60.29% (-0.879 -0.88)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.30799999999999 0.31)22.81% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.452 0.45)56.52% (-0.452 -0.45)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (0.47199999999999 0.47)17.9% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29% (0.807 0.81)48.7% (-0.808 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 33.21%
    FC Twente 43.53%
    Draw 23.26%
HeerenveenDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.04% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.46% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 43.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, March 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 0-4 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, March 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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