SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
39.19% ( 0.81) | 24.02% ( 0.01) | 36.78% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.07) | 41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.07) | 63.4% ( 0.07) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.36) | 21.07% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( 0.56) | 53.88% ( -0.56) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.44) | 22.27% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( -0.67) | 55.72% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
