SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
65.29% ( 2.11) | 19.29% ( -0.18) | 15.42% ( -1.93) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( -3.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.17% ( -2.94) | 38.83% ( 2.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( -3.16) | 61.15% ( 3.17) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.85% ( -0.3) | 11.15% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.39% ( -0.67) | 35.61% ( 0.67) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% ( -4.13) | 38.06% ( 4.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% ( -4.22) | 74.82% ( 4.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 1.13) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 1.14)3-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.74)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.44)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.27)5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.25% Total : 65.29% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.54)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.56)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.29% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.43% |
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