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Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 16, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
SR

Heerenveen
1 - 2
Sparta

de Jong (67')
Akujobi (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thy (7'), Burger (16')
Smeets (30')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawSparta Rotterdam
40.69%25.71%33.59%
Both teams to score 54.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.35%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.2%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.6%
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 40.69%
    Sparta Rotterdam 33.59%
    Draw 25.71%
HeerenveenDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.59%

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