Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
