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Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
AA

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 3
AZ

Oosting (17')
Sow (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gudmundsson (28'), Boadu (63'), Stengs (82')
Letschert (69'), Sugawara (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.69%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 18.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (4.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAZ Alkmaar
18.79%18.52%62.69%
Both teams to score 65.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.44%28.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.57%49.43%
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46%63.53%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.14%8.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.66%30.34%
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 18.79%
    AZ Alkmaar 62.69%
    Draw 18.52%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 4.88%
1-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-1 @ 2.08%
2-0 @ 2.01%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 18.79%
1-1 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 2.47%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 18.52%
1-2 @ 9.27%
1-3 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 7.27%
0-1 @ 6%
0-3 @ 5.87%
2-3 @ 4.78%
1-4 @ 4.54%
0-4 @ 3.56%
2-4 @ 2.9%
1-5 @ 2.2%
0-5 @ 1.72%
2-5 @ 1.4%
3-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 62.69%

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