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Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 7, 2021 at 7pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
V

Sparta
3 - 0
Vitesse

Smeets (36'), Thy (77'), Emegha (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
36.78%24.41%38.82%
Both teams to score 59.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12%42.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72%65.28%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88%23.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02%56.98%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92%22.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57%55.42%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 36.78%
    Vitesse 38.82%
    Draw 24.41%
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 8.27%
1-0 @ 7.47%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.82%

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