Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
