Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.