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Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 24, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
V

Sparta
2 - 0
VVV-Venlo

Duarte (41'), Smeets (67')
Smeets (45'), Beugelsdijk (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Post (56'), van Crooy (70'), Donis (77'), Machach (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawVVV-Venlo
60.15%21%18.84%
Both teams to score 56.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39%40.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01%62.99%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89%13.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25%39.75%
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86%35.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11%71.89%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 60.15%
    VVV-Venlo 18.84%
    Draw 21%
Sparta RotterdamDrawVVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 9.36%
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 6.44%
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 3.42%
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 5.2%
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21%
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-1 @ 4.82%
0-2 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 18.84%

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