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Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
SR

AZ
2 - 0
Sparta

Clasie (13'), de Wit (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinto (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
61.51%20.71%17.78%
Both teams to score 55.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59%40.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.61%63.39%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16%12.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81%39.19%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46%36.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68%73.32%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 61.51%
    Sparta Rotterdam 17.78%
    Draw 20.71%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 6.81%
3-0 @ 6.76%
4-1 @ 3.5%
4-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 61.51%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 5.01%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-1 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.68%
1-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.78%

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