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Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
A

Heerenveen
0 - 2
Ajax


Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haller (24'), Neres (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAjax
12.1%17.38%70.52%
Both teams to score 52.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39%37.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15%59.85%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93%42.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5%78.5%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.49%9.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1%31.9%
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 12.1%
    Ajax 70.51%
    Draw 17.38%
HeerenveenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.53%
1-0 @ 3.47%
2-0 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.2%
3-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 12.1%
1-1 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.15%
0-0 @ 4%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.38%
0-2 @ 11.07%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-1 @ 9.42%
0-3 @ 8.69%
1-3 @ 7.52%
0-4 @ 5.11%
1-4 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 3.26%
0-5 @ 2.4%
1-5 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.92%
0-6 @ 0.94%
2-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 70.51%

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