Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 68.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.