PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Groningen

Nakayama (90+3')
Strieder (35'), de Wit (65'), Saymak (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duarte (36')
Abraham (42'), van Hintum (45+1'), Strand Larsen (88'), Sverko (90+1'), Kalley (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Groningen

At one stage this season, both clubs would have regarded this contest as a must win. However, there is an argument that it is now a must-not-lose, something which leads us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Groningen
49.43%	25.89%	24.68%

Both teams to score 48.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57%

54.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2%

75.8%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95%

22.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61%

55.39%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.7%

37.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.92%

74.08%

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 49.43%

Groningen 24.68%

Draw 25.89%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.43%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.68%