SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Emmen | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
67.33% ( 1.24) | 17.44% ( -0.41) | 15.22% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0.31) | 30.16% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( 0.38) | 51.39% ( -0.37) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.7% ( 0.35) | 8.29% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.06% ( 0.86) | 28.94% ( -0.86) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.76) | 32.74% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( -0.86) | 69.3% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.77% Total : 67.33% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.44% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.76% Total : 15.22% |
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