Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
6 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
4 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
21.17% (![]() | 20.7% (![]() | 58.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.33% (![]() | 35.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.27% (![]() | 57.73% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% (![]() | 29.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% (![]() | 66.11% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% (![]() | 12.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% (![]() | 37.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 21.17% | 1-1 @ 9.24% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.75% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.13% |
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