PSV will be looking to serve up a quick response to a damaging defeat in midweek against opponents who have an abysmal record in this fixture. We are backing the away side to get the job done comprehensively, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
21.17% ( 0.68)	20.7% ( 0.48)	58.13% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 61.51% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.33% (

-1.36)

35.67% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.27% (

-1.52)

57.73% (

1.52)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

-0.18)

29.99% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

-0.21)

66.11% (

0.21)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

-0.74)

12.13% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28% (

-1.59)

37.71% (

1.59)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 21.17%

PSV Eindhoven 58.13%

Draw 20.7%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 21.17%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 3% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.13%