SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Twente |
35.34% ( 0.34) | 24.07% ( 0.11) | 40.59% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.55% ( -0.44) | 41.44% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.15% ( -0.45) | 63.84% ( 0.45) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.02) | 23.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.03) | 57.14% ( 0.03) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.39) | 20.6% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0.62) | 53.15% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.34% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 40.59% |
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