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P
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 13, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
AA

PSV
1 - 3
AZ

Max (59')
Rosario (26'), Dumfries (56'), Sangare (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Koopmeiners (31' pen., 39'), Stengs (90')
Hatzidiakos (58'), Martins Indi (68'), Wijndal (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
52.97%22.28%24.75%
Both teams to score 60.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.03%38.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.71%61.28%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.2%14.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.92%43.08%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15%28.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29%64.71%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 52.97%
    AZ Alkmaar 24.75%
    Draw 22.28%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 24.75%

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