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Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Almere City

van der Venne (41'), Margaret (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Nijmegen
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Almere City

With the home side having recently earned a surprise draw with FC Twente, they should not be ruled out here. However, we feel that the two sides will play out a low-scoring draw that will not necessarily suit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAlmere City
43.92% (0.569 0.57) 24.33% (0.096999999999998 0.1) 31.74% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 58.84% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.706 -0.71)43.7% (0.707 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.696 -0.7)66.09% (0.696 0.7)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)20.05% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)52.27% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.755 -0.75)26.4% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-1.016 -1.02)61.56% (1.017 1.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 43.92%
    Almere City 31.74%
    Draw 24.33%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 FC Twente
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, September 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Nijmegen
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Almere City
Saturday, October 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-1 Willem II
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 29 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-5 FC Twente
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie


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