SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.14%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 5.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 4-0 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.63%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
85.14% ( 0.01) | 9.18% ( -0.01) | 5.67% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.99% ( 0.01) | 17.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 66.29% ( 0.02) | 33.71% ( -0.02) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.25% ( 0) | 2.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.36% ( 0.01) | 12.64% ( -0.02) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0) | 39.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( -0) | 75.87% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 3-0 @ 8.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 7.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)5-1 @ 5.04% ( 0)1-0 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)6-0 @ 3.22% ( 0)6-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)5-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)6-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 5.55% Total : 85.14% | 1-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% 0-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 9.18% | 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 5.67% |
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