Almere City finally picked up their first Eredivisie victory in the last match, which should be a real confidence-boosting result.
As such, despite the fact RKC Waalwijk's form has picked up, we expect the hosts to get the job done this weekend, although it is likely to be a closely-contested game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almere City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Almere City.
0.28) 
-0.32) 
