SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
15.3% ( -0.21) | 18.1% ( 0.02) | 66.6% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.54) | 33.32% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.9% ( -0.62) | 55.09% ( 0.62) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.6) | 34.72% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% ( -0.64) | 71.44% ( 0.64) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( -0.1) | 9.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.63% ( -0.25) | 31.37% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 15.3% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.1% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.17)0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.28% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.77% Total : 66.6% |
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