SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
9.65% ( -0.02) | 14.92% ( -0.18) | 75.43% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.21% ( 0.89) | 32.79% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.52% ( 1.02) | 54.48% ( -1.02) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.6) | 43.15% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.58% ( 0.5) | 79.42% ( -0.5) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.73% ( 0.25) | 7.27% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.68% ( 0.64) | 26.32% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.65% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.92% | 0-2 @ 10.77% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 9.42% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 7.92% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.19% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 2.72% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.08)0-6 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)1-6 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.42% |
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