SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-3 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
12.52% ( -0.06) | 16.38% ( -0.07) | 71.1% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.6% ( 0.21) | 31.4% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.14% ( 0.25) | 52.86% ( -0.25) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( 0.05) | 37.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% ( 0.05) | 73.99% ( -0.06) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.18% ( 0.08) | 7.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.25% ( 0.2) | 27.74% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 12.52% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.38% | 0-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 71.1% |
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