SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
35.76% ( -0.51) | 23.26% ( -0.13) | 40.97% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 64.08% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.6% ( 0.54) | 37.39% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.38% ( 0.58) | 59.61% ( -0.58) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -0.01) | 21.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% ( -0.02) | 54.02% ( 0.01) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( 0.5) | 18.72% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( 0.84) | 50.08% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.57% Total : 40.97% |
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