Neither team has been convincing of late, and consequently, both will fancy their chances of getting something out of Saturday's game.
That said, Waalwijk have been the poorest team away from home in the Eredivisie this term, so we are backing Fortuna to claim a narrow win in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.