Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitesse in this match.
