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Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
A

Sparta
0 - 1
Ajax


Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Ajax

A sense of inconsistency has plagued Ajax in the Eredivisie recently, but this game should only end one way with Ten Hag able to rest some of his star names in midweek. Sparta Rotterdam held their own against Twente, but the relegation-threatened hosts will surely spring no surprises against the away-day specialists. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 7.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.86%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
7.5%13.78%78.71%
Both teams to score 46.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.01%34.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.01%56.99%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.43%49.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.64%84.36%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.91%7.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.14%25.86%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 7.5%
    Ajax 78.71%
    Draw 13.78%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
1-0 @ 2.47%
2-1 @ 2.29%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 7.5%
1-1 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 3.52%
2-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 13.78%
0-2 @ 12.31%
0-3 @ 10.86%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 8.64%
1-3 @ 7.62%
0-4 @ 7.19%
1-4 @ 5.04%
0-5 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-5 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 1.77%
0-6 @ 1.68%
1-6 @ 1.18%
2-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 78.71%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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