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Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
P

Ajax
5 - 0
PSV

Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.99%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 22.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
56.99%20.92%22.09%
Both teams to score 62.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52%35.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.48%57.52%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61%12.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74%38.26%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92%29.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35%65%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 56.99%
    PSV Eindhoven 22.09%
    Draw 20.92%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 6.76%
3-0 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 4.17%
4-1 @ 3.53%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 2.18%
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 56.99%
1-1 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-1 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 22.09%

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