Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
