SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
36.55% ( -0.08) | 25.88% ( -0.03) | 37.57% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( 0.12) | 49.64% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( 0.11) | 71.66% ( -0.11) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( 0.01) | 26.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.49% ( 0.02) | 61.5% ( -0.02) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0.11) | 25.78% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( 0.15) | 60.73% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.57% |
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