SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
64.5% ( 0.13) | 20.41% ( -0.01) | 15.09% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( -0.19) | 44.66% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( -0.18) | 67.03% ( 0.18) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( -0.02) | 13.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.26% ( -0.04) | 39.74% ( 0.04) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.27) | 42.1% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.48% ( -0.24) | 78.52% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.09% |
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