SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
67.18% ( -0.02) | 18.66% ( 0.01) | 14.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( 0.01) | 38.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( 0.02) | 60.95% ( -0.02) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( -0) | 10.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.59% ( -0) | 34.41% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% ( 0.03) | 39.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.68% ( 0.03) | 76.32% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 4.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.47% Total : 67.18% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.16% |
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