Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
67.18% (![]() | 18.66% (![]() | 14.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.35% (![]() | 38.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.05% (![]() | 60.95% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.39% (![]() | 10.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.59% (![]() | 34.41% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% (![]() | 39.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% (![]() | 76.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 10.58% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.47% Total : 67.18% | 1-1 @ 8.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.04% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.16% |
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