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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
IJsseldelta Stadion
A

PEC Zwolle
0 - 2
Ajax


Huiberts (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Neres (28'), Tagliafico (38')
Haller (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
11.21%14.95%73.85%
Both teams to score 59.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.3%27.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.63%48.37%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39%36.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6%73.4%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.58%6.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.96%24.04%
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 11.21%
    Ajax 73.85%
    Draw 14.95%
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.26%
1-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.5%
2-0 @ 1.19%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.21%
1-1 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 4.47%
0-0 @ 2.35%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 14.95%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-2 @ 8.86%
1-3 @ 8.15%
0-3 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 6.45%
1-4 @ 5.6%
0-4 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.1%
1-5 @ 3.08%
0-5 @ 3.06%
2-4 @ 2.81%
2-5 @ 1.55%
1-6 @ 1.41%
0-6 @ 1.4%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 73.85%

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