Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
