Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
