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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
H

Willem II
3 - 1
Heerenveen

Holmen (28'), Okyere Wriedt (55'), Nunnely (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Veerman (73')
Veerman (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawHeerenveen
37.72%24.7%37.58%
Both teams to score 58.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77%44.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39%66.61%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76%23.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85%57.15%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69%23.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74%57.26%
Score Analysis
    Willem II 37.72%
    Heerenveen 37.58%
    Draw 24.7%
Willem IIDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.4%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.58%

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