Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
