Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
