SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paide | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
41.85% ( 0.04) | 23.85% ( -0) | 34.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.02) |
| Paide Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.03) | 19.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( 0.04) | 51.63% ( -0.04) |
| Ararat-Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.02) | 23.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.03) | 57.37% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paide | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.3% |
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