Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
Paide linnastaadion kunstmuruväljak
Paide win 4-3 on penalties
Klavan (33'), Yusif (83'), Simon (120+1')
FT
Tera (39'), Agdon (46'), Duarte (90+4'), Lima (113'),
Firmino (120')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Paide and Ararat-Armenia.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Paide | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
41.85% ( 0.04) | 23.85% ( -0) | 34.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.01) |
| 59.44% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
| 37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.02) |
| 80.34% ( 0.03) | 19.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.37% ( 0.04) | 51.63% ( -0.04) |
| 76.61% ( -0.02) | 23.39% ( 0.02) |
