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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Paide linnastaadion kunstmuruväljak
A

Paide
0 - 2
Anderlecht

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Refaelov (10'), Silva (40')
Arnstad (70'), Kana (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Paide 1-3 Anderlecht

Anderlecht boast a vastly superior squad on paper, and while that does not always translate to success on the pitch, we are backing them to come out on top in this one and take control of the tie overall. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Paide had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Paide win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
PaideDrawAnderlecht
29.9% (0.138 0.14) 28.38% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.72% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.45% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.33% (0.023999999999997 0.02)80.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Paide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.125 0.13)36.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.128 0.13)73.11% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)28.62% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)64.43% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Paide 29.89%
    Anderlecht 41.72%
    Draw 28.37%
PaideDrawAnderlecht
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.89%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.37%
0-1 @ 13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 41.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 0-0 Paide
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 2-3 Paide
Thursday, July 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-0 Paide
Thursday, July 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 1-2 Slask Wroclaw
Thursday, July 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Anderlecht
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 Oostende
Sunday, July 24 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-2 Union SG
Sunday, May 15 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Antwerp
Thursday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 0-4 Anderlecht
Sunday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League


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