SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 32 | 2.29 | Nsame |
| 2 | Grasshopper | 26 | 1.86 | Kawabe |
| 3 | St Gallen | 24 | 1.71 | Akolo |
| 4 | Luzern | 23 | 1.77 | Meyer |
| 5 | Lugano | 21 | 1.50 | Celar |
| 6 | Sion | 20 | 1.43 | Stojilkovic |
| 7 | Basel | 19 | 1.46 | Burger |
| 8 | Servette | 18 | 1.29 | Fofana |
| 9 | Winterthur | 11 | 0.79 | Buess |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 9 | 0.64 | Okita |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Limassol win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Limassol win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Apollon Limassol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Apollon Limassol | Draw | Vaduz |
38.6% ( 0.08) | 24.56% ( -0.02) | 36.84% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.09) | 43.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.09) | 65.99% ( -0.09) |
| Apollon Limassol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( 0.08) | 22.5% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( 0.12) | 56.06% ( -0.13) |
| Vaduz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 0.01) | 23.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( 0.01) | 57.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Apollon Limassol | Draw | Vaduz |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.84% |
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