SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Apollon Limassol had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Apollon Limassol win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Apollon Limassol | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
23.89% ( -0.02) | 22.4% ( 0) | 53.71% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( -0.03) | 40.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.03) | 62.8% ( 0.03) |
| Apollon Limassol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.03) | 30.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( -0.04) | 66.51% ( 0.04) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( -0.01) | 15.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.42% ( -0.01) | 43.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Apollon Limassol | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.16% 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.71% |
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