SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 29 | 2.23 | Nsame |
| 2 | Grasshopper | 25 | 1.92 | Kawabe |
| 3 | St Gallen | 24 | 1.85 | Akolo |
| 4 | Luzern | 20 | 1.67 | Meyer |
| 5 | Sion | 20 | 1.54 | Stojilkovic |
| 6 | Lugano | 19 | 1.46 | Celar |
| 7 | Basel | 18 | 1.50 | Burger |
| 8 | Servette | 16 | 1.23 | Fofana |
| 9 | Winterthur | 10 | 0.77 | Buess |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 8 | 0.62 | Dzemaili |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vaduz had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Vaduz win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| Vaduz | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
21.56% ( 0.03) | 22.23% ( 0.03) | 56.22% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( -0.11) | 42.33% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( -0.11) | 64.74% ( 0.11) |
| Vaduz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.03) | 33.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( -0.03) | 70.07% ( 0.04) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( -0.06) | 14.9% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.74% ( -0.11) | 43.27% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaduz | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.56% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 56.22% |
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