Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Apollon Limassol had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.48%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.03%), while for an Apollon Limassol win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Apollon Limassol |
62.68% (![]() | 24.22% (![]() | 13.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 35.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.83% (![]() | 62.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.14% (![]() | 81.86% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% (![]() | 19.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.15% (![]() | 51.84% (![]() |
Apollon Limassol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.22% (![]() | 55.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.66% (![]() | 88.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Apollon Limassol |
1-0 @ 17.87% (![]() 2-0 @ 14.48% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 62.67% | 0-0 @ 11.03% 1-1 @ 10.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.44% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.09% |
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