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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 4pm UK
Daugavas Stadiona, Riga

Valmiera
1 - 2
Shkendija

Gueye (45')
Krollis (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doriev (9'), Guri (63')
Sadriu (77')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Valmiera and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Valmiera 0-0 FK Suduva
Thursday, July 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Ararat 2-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 14 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.

Result
ValmieraDrawShkendija
36.03%26.92%37.05%
Both teams to score 51.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94%54.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.51%75.49%
Valmiera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.62%
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Valmiera 36.02%
    Shkendija 37.05%
    Draw 26.92%
ValmieraDrawShkendija
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.02%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valmiera 0-0 FK Suduva
Thursday, July 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: FK Suduva 2-1 Valmiera
Thursday, July 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-0 Valmiera
Thursday, August 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ararat 2-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 14 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 2-0 Ararat
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shkendija 0-1 Riga FC
Thursday, July 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Riga FC 2-0 Shkendija
Thursday, July 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: NS Mura 5-0 Shkendija
Tuesday, July 13 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shkendija 0-1 NS Mura
Tuesday, July 6 at 7pm in Champions League


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