SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shkendija in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shkendija | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
54.02% ( -0.02) | 23.91% ( 0.01) | 22.06% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( -0.02) | 49.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( -0.02) | 71.12% ( 0.02) |
| Shkendija Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -0.01) | 18.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( -0.02) | 48.98% ( 0.02) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% ( -0) | 36.72% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( -0) | 73.51% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shkendija | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.07% |
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