Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
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