SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Astana had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Astana win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
25.24% ( -1.23) | 25.45% ( -0.41) | 49.31% ( 1.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( 0.75) | 52.28% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.02% ( 0.64) | 73.98% ( -0.64) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.63) | 35.62% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( -0.66) | 72.38% ( 0.65) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( 1.03) | 21.22% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.89% ( 1.57) | 54.11% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Astana | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.24% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.3% |
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