Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
